March 15, 2003

Thomas Nephew, still reluctantly hawkish,

Thomas Nephew, still reluctantly hawkish, responds to some of the "balking hawks" who have been driven back over the fence by the recent diplomatic meltdown. I recommend reading the whole post, which is a smart and, I think, pretty accurate assessment, particularly here:

It's true, we might have been able to finesse things better: Rummie could have shut up more often, Powell could have made a few more visits to European capitals. But what comes through, at least from the German media and blogs I read, is a fundamental difference of views, of "Weltanschauung." It's one I think is grounded in the belief -- possibly well-founded -- that Germany and Europe are too valuable as economic engines for anyone in their right mind to attack them -- and that's all they worry about. It's Europe as a super-Switzerland, and it's an interesting point of view. But it's not one I think will stand the test of Europe's own ambitions for itself. To be a "player," you need a real military, not the toy varieties that Europe fields, on average; but once you have a "real" military, you will acquire suspicious neighbors as if by magic -- especially in Europe. And the days of being a player without an army and a navy are waning, and will probably be over by Tuesday or Wednesday or whenever that vote is.

This doesn't mean we can't work with these countries ever again; we need to right now, and it will behoove us to be polite about it. But it also doesn't mean that we've lost some pearl of great price: the unconditional loyalty of other nations. We may have had something resembling that for a fleeting moment in world history. Now it's back to the usual situation: everyone looking out for number one. That's no more tragic than most periods in human history, and a good deal less tragic than some. Get over it.

Posted by Dr. Frank at March 15, 2003 09:42 AM | TrackBack